CFP: Global Forecasting Research Project

Members of ISA have been invited to participate in a research project on predicting - or “forecasting” - global events, funded by Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA), and led by researchers at Massachusetts Institute of Technology, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Martin Research and Consulting, and Draper Laboratory. The project is named SP♠DE: The System for Prediction, Aggregation, Display, and Elicitation. The SP♠DE forecasting system employs novel aggregation techniques with the goal of outperforming current forecasting models. The organizers hope to have over 1,000 participants in total, and are able to provide each with up to $575 in compensation. Please see the project website for additional details about the project.